MOSCOW / RankWire.AI / – Russia intends to boost its yearly vehicle output to approximately 2.8 million units by 2035 as part of its revamped automotive industry plan. First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov outlined this objective on Aug. 31 during a discussion focused on sector development. This figure encompasses vehicles for both Russia’s domestic consumption and exports. Additionally, the strategy aims for 80% of new vehicle sales in the country to be domestically produced by 2035.
On Aug. 24, the Russian government ratified the updated automotive roadmap, extending industry targets through 2035. As of the end of 2025, Russia’s vehicle manufacturing capacity was approximately 3.3 million units per year, though actual production that year hovered near 800,000 vehicles. During 2024 and 2025, capacity utilization averaged 25% for passenger cars and 41% for light commercial vehicles. Trucks operated at 35%, while buses reached 43% utilization.
The projected scenario envisions 2035 production levels of 2.5 million passenger cars and roughly 170,000 light commercial vehicles. It also includes plans for 110,000 trucks and 30,000 buses. Passenger-car manufacturing is expected to be distributed across four or five vehicle platforms, while light commercial vehicles would utilize one or two. The total new-vehicle market in that year is forecasted to be about 3.2 million units, with imports potentially accounting for up to 20% of the market share.
Production benchmarks encompass all vehicle categories
A baseline scenario with reduced figures also exists within the strategy. Under this plan, vehicle production could reach around 1.69 million units in 2035, and the new-vehicle market would approximate 2.2 million units. By 2030, the target scenario projects the market at about 2.4 million units, whereas the baseline anticipates roughly 2 million vehicles across all segments.
Significant emphasis is placed on powertrain and technological goals. Internal-combustion engines are expected to represent between 67% and 83% of production in 2035, depending on the vehicle category. Meanwhile, electric and hybrid passenger cars should constitute at least 25% of Russia’s new passenger-car market by that year. The plan also aims to produce about 150,000 highly automated vehicles with Level 4 autonomy or higher in 2035. Systems for driver assistance and digital vehicle features are also highlighted in the strategy.
Capacity utilization and localization efforts remain key priorities
Russia’s current manufacturing capacity significantly exceeds its recent annual output. Passenger-car capacity stood at roughly 2.8 million units in 2025, while actual production was near 700,000 vehicles. Light commercial vehicle capacity reached about 300,000 units, with output around 80,000. Truck capacity was approximately 130,000 units, and bus capacity was close to 30,000. Additionally, Russian plants produced about 4,400 electric-powered vehicles in 2025, up from 4,200 in 2024.
The strategy advocates for increased use of standardized components and technologies across vehicle platforms through 2035. It also sets ambitious localization and technological independence objectives for domestically assembled vehicles. The scope of the plan includes passenger cars, commercial vehicles, trucks, buses, powertrains, autonomous driving systems, and digital vehicle technologies. The ultimate goal combines a target of 2.8 million units of annual production with an 80% share of the domestic market. An implementation plan will be developed as part of the order that approved this updated strategy.
}|}**